Guarany de Sobral vs Caucaia EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 2
GUA
47%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
GUA
38%
23%
39%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAC
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
0 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAU
1 - 1
BAR
21%
22%
57%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
1 - 1
CAU
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CAU
1 - 1
FER
14%
19%
68%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
FLO
2 - 4
CAU
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CAU
0 - 0
PAC
30%
23%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |