Guarany de Sobral vs Barbalha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 0
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 1
GUA
31%
21%
48%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
BAR
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
IGU
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 1
GUA
31%
21%
48%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
BAR
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 1
ICA
55%
21%
25%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
ICA
1 - 1
BAR
44%
21%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |