Guarany de Sobral vs Afogados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
ARN
3 - 0
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 2
FLO
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAL
34%
28%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 0
GUA
35%
28%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAM
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
AFO
3 - 2
ATL
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ARN
3 - 1
AFO
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
AFO
3 - 2
GLO
35%
26%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CAM
2 - 0
AFO
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
AFO
1 - 0
FLO
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |