Guarany de Bagé vs Ypiranga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
74.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
47%
24%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
37%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
MON
36%
25%
40%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
URS
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ypiranga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
YPI
1 - 1
BOT
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
YPI
42%
30%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 0
YPI
13%
26%
62%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
YPI
2 - 0
BRU
56%
24%
19%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
REM
2 - 1
YPI
42%
28%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |