Guarany de Bagé vs 12 Horas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
SCI
8%
20%
72%
|
44 | 85 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 0
GUA
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
YPI
3 - 1
GUA
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
URS
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
12 Horas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 8
GEB
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
8 - 1
HOR
81%
13%
7%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
HOR
0 - 7
AIM
6%
13%
81%
|
10 | 56 | 46 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
GEB
1 - 1
HOR
74%
16%
10%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
GRE
5 - 1
HOR
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | 0 |