Guarany de Bagé vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
LAJ
1 - 3
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
ECA
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
ISM
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
SGA
1 - 2
GUA
45%
23%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUA
35%
23%
43%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
ISM
53%
24%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
SGA
1 - 4
SAO
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
GUA
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
GEB
0 - 1
SAO
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
ECA
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |