Guarany de Bagé vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
51.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
GUA
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
GEB
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GEB
2 - 1
GUA
47%
23%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
GRE
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GEB
0 - 0
SAO
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
GEB
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 2
SAO
25%
24%
50%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
IPA
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |