Guarany de Bagé vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
RIO
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
GFC
1 - 0
GUA
44%
25%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
GEB
1 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ECJ
2 - 5
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
6 - 0
FAR
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
ECJ
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 0
SAO
52%
25%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 2
GFC
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |