Guarany de Bagé vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
GUA
67%
20%
14%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
GFC
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
RIO
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 1
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 0
GUA
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
ECJ
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 1
SAO
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 0
GEB
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 1
SAO
64%
21%
16%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
GEB
3 - 1
SAO
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |