Guarany de Bagé vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 3
VER
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
SLU
4 - 1
GUA
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 3
ISM
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
ECS
3 - 2
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
JUV
2 - 0
GUA
77%
15%
7%
|
40 | 73 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
ECA
3 - 0
SAO
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAO
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
SAO
2 - 0
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
YPI
3 - 0
SAO
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2008 |
SAO
0 - 3
PEL
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |