Guarany de Bagé vs São Luiz analysis

Guarany de Bagé São Luiz
53 ELO 59
-18.2% Tilt -19.5%
4044º General ELO ranking 3341º
128º Country ELO ranking 100º
ELO win probability
31.2%
Guarany de Bagé
26.1%
Draw
42.7%
São Luiz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
Guarany de Bagé
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.7%
Win probability
São Luiz
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guarany de Bagé
+20%
-24%
São Luiz

ELO progression

Guarany de Bagé
São Luiz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guarany de Bagé
Guarany de Bagé
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2025
SLU
São Luiz
0 - 1
Guarany de Bagé
GUA
57%
23%
20%
53 59 6 0
15 Feb. 2025
GUA
Guarany de Bagé
0 - 1
São Luiz
SLU
30%
26%
44%
54 59 5 -1
12 Feb. 2025
GUA
Guarany de Bagé
0 - 0
Caxias do Sul
CAX
17%
24%
59%
53 69 16 +1
09 Feb. 2025
YPI
Ypiranga FC
1 - 0
Guarany de Bagé
GUA
76%
16%
8%
53 72 19 0
07 Feb. 2025
MON
Monsoon
1 - 3
Guarany de Bagé
GUA
29%
25%
46%
53 48 5 0

Matches

São Luiz
São Luiz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2025
SLU
São Luiz
0 - 1
Guarany de Bagé
GUA
57%
23%
20%
59 53 6 0
15 Feb. 2025
GUA
Guarany de Bagé
0 - 1
São Luiz
SLU
30%
26%
44%
59 54 5 0
13 Feb. 2025
SLU
São Luiz
1 - 3
Internacional
SCI
8%
23%
69%
59 88 29 0
08 Feb. 2025
CAX
Caxias do Sul
1 - 0
São Luiz
SLU
63%
21%
17%
59 69 10 0
06 Feb. 2025
SLU
São Luiz
1 - 1
Pelotas
PEL
69%
20%
11%
59 47 12 0