Gaucho 1 Troféu Farroupilha Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Guarany de Bagé vs São Luiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
SLU
0 - 1
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 1
SLU
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAX
17%
24%
59%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
YPI
1 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
MON
1 - 3
GUA
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
SLU
0 - 1
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 1
SLU
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
SLU
1 - 3
SCI
8%
23%
69%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CAX
1 - 0
SLU
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
SLU
1 - 1
PEL
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |