Guarany de Bagé vs São Luiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAX
17%
24%
59%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
YPI
1 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
MON
1 - 3
GUA
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 0
PEL
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
JUV
1 - 0
GUA
88%
9%
3%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
SLU
1 - 3
SCI
8%
23%
69%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CAX
1 - 0
SLU
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
SLU
1 - 1
PEL
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
GRE
5 - 0
SLU
88%
9%
4%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
YPI
1 - 1
SLU
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |