Guarany de Bagé vs São Gabriel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 1
GUA
29%
23%
48%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
AIM
1 - 0
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GEB
0 - 1
GUA
26%
23%
51%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
GRE
32%
24%
45%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
5 - 1
HOR
75%
16%
10%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
São Gabriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ISM
2 - 0
SGA
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SGA
2 - 1
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
LAJ
1 - 1
SGA
57%
24%
18%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
SGA
3 - 0
SAO
42%
27%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ECA
1 - 0
SGA
55%
25%
20%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |