Guarany de Bagé vs São Gabriel analysis

Guarany de Bagé São Gabriel
27 ELO 47
-0.4% Tilt 2.3%
4026º General ELO ranking 27215º
129º Country ELO ranking 779º
ELO win probability
16.1%
Guarany de Bagé
21.2%
Draw
62.8%
São Gabriel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
Guarany de Bagé
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.8%
Win probability
São Gabriel
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guarany de Bagé
+13%
-47%
São Gabriel

ELO progression

Guarany de Bagé
São Gabriel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guarany de Bagé
Guarany de Bagé
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2016
IPA
Internacional Porto A II
7 - 0
Guarany de Bagé
GUA
63%
19%
19%
29 40 11 0
29 Sep. 2016
GUA
Guarany de Bagé
0 - 1
São Paulo RS
SAO
26%
23%
51%
30 44 14 -1
26 Sep. 2016
GRE
Grêmio B
3 - 0
Guarany de Bagé
GUA
49%
22%
29%
32 34 2 -2
18 Sep. 2016
GUA
Guarany de Bagé
1 - 3
GE Bagé
GEB
40%
23%
37%
33 38 5 -1
11 Sep. 2016
SAO
São Paulo RS
2 - 2
Guarany de Bagé
GUA
67%
19%
14%
33 45 12 0

Matches

São Gabriel
São Gabriel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2016
PEL
Pelotas
3 - 0
São Gabriel
SGA
47%
25%
28%
48 49 1 0
29 May. 2016
SGA
São Gabriel
1 - 0
Brasil Farroupilha
BRA
34%
25%
41%
47 51 4 +1
26 May. 2016
SGA
São Gabriel
2 - 1
Guarani RS
GUA
39%
26%
35%
46 48 2 +1
22 May. 2016
ECA
EC Avenida
3 - 2
São Gabriel
SGA
39%
26%
35%
47 43 4 -1
19 May. 2016
SGA
São Gabriel
2 - 2
EC Avenida
ECA
54%
24%
22%
47 42 5 0