Guarany de Bagé vs São Gabriel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
IPA
7 - 0
GUA
63%
19%
19%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAO
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
GUA
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 3
GEB
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
São Gabriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
PEL
3 - 0
SGA
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SGA
1 - 0
BRA
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
SGA
2 - 1
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ECA
3 - 2
SGA
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
SGA
2 - 2
ECA
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |