Guarany de Bagé vs Santa Cruz RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
46.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
AIM
13%
19%
68%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PEL
2 - 2
GUA
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
ECA
20%
21%
60%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ISM
2 - 1
GUA
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
AIM
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
PEL
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ECA
3 - 0
SAN
59%
22%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
ISM
48%
24%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SGA
2 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |