Guarany de Bagé vs Santa Cruz RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 1
GAU
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
NOV
2 - 3
GUA
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 1
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
36 | 78 | 42 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 0
GLO
20%
22%
57%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 0
NOV
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
SAN
3 - 1
SCI
6%
16%
78%
|
46 | 87 | 41 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
GLO
1 - 1
SAN
64%
19%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 1
SAN
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRE
13%
20%
68%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |