Guarany de Bagé vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
72.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 3
ECS
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ISM
3 - 2
GUA
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 3
SLU
40%
25%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
VER
4 - 1
GUA
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
CAN
2 - 3
GUA
70%
18%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2008 |
SCI
0 - 1
JUV
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
JUV
2 - 1
BRA
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2008 |
JUV
2 - 2
ISM
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
ECS
2 - 0
JUV
19%
22%
60%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 1
SPO
45%
28%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |