Guarany de Bagé vs Guarany Camaqua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
RIO
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 1
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 0
GUA
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
BRA
21%
22%
58%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
GEB
34%
26%
41%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany Camaqua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
GFC
1 - 1
RIO
49%
23%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GEB
1 - 0
GFC
57%
23%
21%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 0
GUA
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 0
GEB
31%
26%
43%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +4 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
GFC
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |