Guarany de Bagé vs Guarany Camaqua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 0
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 1
FAR
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ECJ
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
GEB
0 - 0
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAO
44%
25%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany Camaqua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 1
GEB
50%
25%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 2
GFC
54%
23%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 2
BRA
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
ECJ
1 - 1
GFC
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GFC
4 - 1
FAR
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |