Guarany de Bagé vs Guarani RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
ISM
1 - 1
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
PEL
2 - 1
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
LAJ
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
GUA
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
GEB
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
LAJ
19%
24%
57%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 0
GUA
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
GEB
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SGA
2 - 1
GUA
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
PEL
21%
25%
54%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |