Guarany de Bagé vs Guarani RS analysis

Guarany de Bagé Guarani RS
38 ELO 40
-7.4% Tilt -6.6%
4031º General ELO ranking 27251º
130º Country ELO ranking 776º
ELO win probability
34.9%
Guarany de Bagé
22.7%
Draw
42.5%
Guarani RS

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
Guarany de Bagé
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
42.5%
Win probability
Guarani RS
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Guarany de Bagé
Guarani RS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guarany de Bagé
Guarany de Bagé
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2020
GUA
Guarany de Bagé
2 - 2
Inter Santa Maria
ISM
33%
24%
43%
36 42 6 0
09 Mar. 2020
SGA
São Gabriel
2 - 1
Guarany de Bagé
GUA
47%
23%
30%
37 40 3 -1
01 Mar. 2020
GUA
Guarany de Bagé
3 - 0
Guarani RS
GUA
26%
22%
52%
34 44 10 +3
01 Oct. 2017
GUA
Guarany de Bagé
0 - 2
Pelotas
PEL
26%
25%
50%
36 45 9 -2
28 Sep. 2017
PEL
Pelotas
1 - 1
Guarany de Bagé
GUA
60%
22%
18%
35 45 10 +1

Matches

Guarani RS
Guarani RS
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2020
SAO
São Paulo RS
3 - 1
Guarani RS
GUA
55%
23%
22%
42 46 4 0
07 Mar. 2020
GUA
Guarani RS
2 - 1
Lajeadense
LAJ
46%
26%
28%
41 41 0 +1
01 Mar. 2020
GUA
Guarany de Bagé
3 - 0
Guarani RS
GUA
26%
22%
52%
44 34 10 -3
12 May. 2019
ESP
Esportivo BG
1 - 1
Guarani RS
GUA
59%
23%
18%
43 51 8 +1
05 May. 2019
GUA
Guarani RS
1 - 2
Esportivo BG
ESP
32%
27%
41%
44 51 7 -1