Guarany de Bagé vs Guarani RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 2
ISM
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
SGA
2 - 1
GUA
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
26%
22%
52%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 2
PEL
26%
25%
50%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
PEL
1 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
3 - 1
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
LAJ
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
26%
22%
52%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -3 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 1
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 2
ESP
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |