Guarany de Bagé vs Guarani RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
51.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 2
PEL
26%
25%
50%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
PEL
1 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GEB
2 - 0
GUA
33%
23%
44%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
PEL
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
GRE
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 1
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 2
ESP
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
IGR
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
IGR
0 - 0
GUA
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 0
BRA
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |