Guarany de Bagé vs Guarani RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
57%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
GUA
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAN
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
AIM
13%
19%
68%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PEL
2 - 2
GUA
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
ECA
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ECA
1 - 2
GUA
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
PEL
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
60%
20%
20%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
ISM
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |