Guarany de Bagé vs Grêmio B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
44.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
5 - 1
HOR
75%
16%
10%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
SCI
8%
20%
72%
|
44 | 85 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 0
GUA
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
YPI
3 - 1
GUA
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
URS
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
AIM
0 - 2
GRE
59%
22%
20%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
8 - 1
HOR
81%
13%
7%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 1
AIM
31%
23%
46%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
AIM
1 - 1
GRE
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 1
ECS
15%
18%
67%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |