Guarany de Bagé vs Grêmio B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
41.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
GEB
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 0
GUA
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
PEL
1 - 1
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SGA
0 - 0
GUA
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
ISM
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 0
GUA
57%
20%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 1
PEL
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 3
GEB
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GEB
2 - 2
GRE
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
4 - 2
GEB
43%
23%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |