Guarany de Bagé vs Grêmio B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
36.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
IPA
41%
23%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
GUA
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -4 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 3
GEB
56%
22%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
BRA
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 1
GUA
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 2
SAO
25%
24%
50%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
GEB
1 - 0
GRE
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |