Guarany de Bagé vs Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ECJ
3 - 1
GUA
31%
24%
46%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
RIO
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
GFC
1 - 0
GUA
44%
25%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
GEB
1 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 0
GEB
38%
25%
38%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
6 - 0
FAR
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 1
FAR
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FAR
0 - 3
SAO
44%
24%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 0
FAR
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |