Guarany de Bagé vs Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ECJ
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
GEB
0 - 0
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAO
44%
25%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
GUA
67%
20%
14%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
GFC
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FAR
0 - 3
SAO
44%
24%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 0
FAR
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GFC
4 - 1
FAR
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
FAR
2 - 1
GEB
43%
26%
32%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
FAR
3 - 2
BRA
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +3 |