Guarany de Bagé vs Farroupilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 3
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
GEB
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
PEL
1 - 0
GUA
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
RIO
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ECJ
3 - 0
GUA
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Farroupilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 3
FAR
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FAR
2 - 2
CEF
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
GEB
3 - 0
FAR
57%
23%
21%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FAR
1 - 1
PEL
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
FAR
51%
24%
24%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |