Guarany de Bagé vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
GEB
0 - 1
GUA
24%
23%
54%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
29%
23%
48%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LAJ
2 - 0
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
PEL
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
ISM
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
GEB
0 - 1
GUA
24%
23%
54%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ISM
1 - 1
GEB
64%
21%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GEB
1 - 1
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
SGA
2 - 1
GEB
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PEL
0 - 1
GEB
72%
19%
10%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |