Guarany de Bagé vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
GEB
1 - 1
GUA
31%
24%
46%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAO
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
LAJ
1 - 3
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
ECA
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
ISM
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
GEB
1 - 1
GUA
31%
24%
46%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ISM
1 - 1
GEB
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
GEB
1 - 0
SGA
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 2
GEB
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
ECA
2 - 0
GEB
58%
24%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |