Guarany de Bagé vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 0
GUA
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
PEL
1 - 1
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SGA
0 - 0
GUA
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 1
ISM
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
ECA
1 - 0
GUA
68%
18%
13%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
IPA
1 - 0
GEB
63%
21%
17%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GEB
1 - 3
IPA
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 3
GEB
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GEB
2 - 2
GRE
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
4 - 2
GEB
43%
23%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |