Guarany de Bagé vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GEB
2 - 1
GUA
47%
23%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
GRE
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
IPA
41%
23%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
GUA
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -4 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GEB
0 - 0
IPA
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GEB
2 - 1
GUA
47%
23%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
GEB
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
GEB
1 - 0
GRE
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
GEB
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |