Guarany de Bagé vs EC Avenida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
59.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ISM
2 - 1
GUA
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 2
SGA
16%
21%
63%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
IPA
7 - 0
GUA
63%
19%
19%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAO
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 0
GUA
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ECA
2 - 2
AIM
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
PEL
2 - 1
ECA
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
ECA
53%
26%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
ECA
3 - 2
GUA
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
PEL
4 - 1
ECA
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |