Guarany de Bagé vs CEF Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FAR
0 - 0
GUA
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 3
VER
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
SLU
4 - 1
GUA
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 3
ISM
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
CEF Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CEF
4 - 2
ECJ
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 2
CEF
72%
18%
10%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 0
CEF
78%
14%
7%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
CEF
1 - 1
GEB
23%
25%
53%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2008 |
CEF
0 - 1
FAR
20%
22%
58%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | -1 |