Guarany de Bagé vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
GUA
95%
4%
1%
|
43 | 86 | 43 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 1
GUA
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
AIM
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
ECS
1 - 0
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
URS
5 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAX
4 - 0
BRA
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
AIM
0 - 2
CAX
41%
28%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAX
1 - 1
ECS
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
CAX
90%
8%
2%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAX
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |