Guarany de Bagé vs Aimoré analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
68.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PEL
2 - 2
GUA
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
ECA
20%
21%
60%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ISM
2 - 1
GUA
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 2
SGA
16%
21%
63%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
IPA
7 - 0
GUA
63%
19%
19%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Aimoré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AIM
0 - 0
GUA
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
AIM
3 - 3
PEL
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ECA
2 - 2
AIM
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AIM
3 - 0
ISM
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 1
AIM
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |