Guarany de Bagé vs 14 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 3
GUA
54%
24%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
RIO
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GEB
0 - 1
GUA
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
FAR
54%
22%
25%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ECJ
1 - 0
BRA
19%
22%
60%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ECJ
1 - 1
GEB
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 1
ECJ
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 2
ECJ
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ECJ
1 - 1
RIO
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |