Guarany de Bagé vs 14 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
GEB
0 - 0
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAO
44%
25%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
GUA
67%
20%
14%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
GFC
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
RIO
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 0
ECJ
39%
25%
37%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
ECJ
1 - 1
GFC
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
ECJ
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
ECJ
2 - 2
BRA
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ECJ
3 - 3
FAR
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |