Guarany de Bagé vs 14 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
GEB
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
GFC
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 0
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 1
FAR
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ECJ
1 - 2
GFC
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
ECJ
0 - 0
RIO
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
GEB
2 - 0
ECJ
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
ECJ
1 - 5
SAO
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ECJ
2 - 1
GEB
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |