Guarany de Bagé vs 14 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 2
PEL
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
GEB
2 - 1
GUA
53%
23%
23%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FAR
0 - 0
GUA
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ECJ
3 - 3
SAO
31%
25%
45%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
ECJ
1 - 3
RIO
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ECJ
1 - 3
GEB
34%
26%
40%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CEF
4 - 2
ECJ
22%
22%
56%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ECJ
1 - 0
FAR
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |