Guaraní vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
1 - 1
UCH
58%
19%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
UCH
2 - 0
GUA
50%
20%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
UCO
2 - 0
GUA
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
OLI
3 - 3
GUA
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1965 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
GUA
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1966 |
OLI
0 - 4
UCO
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
UCO
0 - 0
OLI
57%
21%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
UCO
2 - 0
GUA
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
52%
20%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1962 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCO
66%
18%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |