Guaraní vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
8º
2º
17
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
GUA
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 2
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
AME
45%
28%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
JLM
0 - 0
GUA
33%
28%
40%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 2
LQE
45%
28%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 0
NAC
31%
27%
41%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
TAC
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
TAC
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 4
AME
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
JLM
0 - 0
TAC
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |