Guaraní vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
9º
5º
23
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
AME
2 - 2
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
LIB
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
CCP
4 - 0
GUA
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 2
SPT
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 1
OLI
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
JLM
2 - 1
TAC
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 2
TAC
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 1
LQE
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CCP
1 - 1
TAC
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |