Guaraní vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
10º
4º
15
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
AME
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 2
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 1
LQE
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
RES
0 - 4
GUA
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CCP
1 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
TAC
2 - 2
JLM
33%
25%
43%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 3
AME
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 0
TAC
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 1
JLM
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
4 - 0
TAC
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |