Guaraní vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
TOL
26%
24%
50%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
CCP
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 2
CRZ
26%
27%
48%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
TAC
2 - 0
CCP
21%
27%
52%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LQE
2 - 2
TAC
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
TAC
46%
25%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 1
GEN
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
IND
1 - 0
TAC
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |