Guaraní vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
RÑU
1 - 1
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 1
AME
56%
25%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
41%
28%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CCP
5 - 4
GUA
49%
27%
25%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 4
LIB
29%
30%
42%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
OLI
3 - 2
TAC
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 2
CCP
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
LQE
1 - 1
TAC
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |