Guaraní vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
LQE
0 - 3
GUA
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 1
SPT
67%
22%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
AME
1 - 2
GUA
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
OLI
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
CCP
1 - 3
GUA
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
TAC
2 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 0
TAC
70%
20%
11%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
TAC
0 - 0
RÑU
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
TAC
2 - 2
SPC
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
TAC
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |