Guaraní vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2009 |
CCP
1 - 0
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
RÑU
50%
28%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
2DE
1 - 1
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
AME
0 - 0
GUA
48%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
CUE
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2009 |
TAC
3 - 2
LQE
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NAC
4 - 0
TAC
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 0
12O
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
RÑU
2 - 3
TAC
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 3
LIB
29%
29%
42%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |