Guaraní vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
GUA
3 - 1
2DE
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 0
CCP
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TAC
2 - 1
CCP
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 1
TAC
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
TAC
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 1
LQE
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
12O
2 - 3
TAC
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |